A close call is a free lesson
Lesson #1: The Coffee Avalanche
What the Coffee Avalanche Taught Me
Lesson #2: Flattop Mountain Avalanche
What the Flattop Avalanche Taught Me
- High risk/low frequency events where you have time to think. The solution, Graham says, is to “Slow down. Slooow down. Sloooooooooow down.” Slowing down has become one of the points in my 2017 system for avalanche avoidance.
- High risk/low frequency events where you have no time to think. The solution: Graham says, is “They can be addressed through serious training.” Train for worst case scenarios.
Lesson #3: Ski Hill Avalanche
What the Ski Hill Avalanche Taught Me
- Use the it-could-have-been-me approach to learn from avalanche incidents.
- Have an outlier mindset in avalanche terrain.
- Keep in mind that hindsight is 20:20.
- To avoid complacency, ask “Is there something we missed?”
- Slow down when you have time to think.
I hope for watercooler conversations that intelligently explore the lessons that can be learned from the past while resisting the lure of hindsight and the illusion of certainty.
—Daniel Kahneman in Thinking, Fast and Slow
"...if the consequences would have been severe or the event caused you to change your decision-making or practices, call it a near miss."
—American Avalanche Institute